South Sudan is facing a rising tide of violence that could push the nation back into full-scale war, according to warnings from the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD). Recent clashes between rival factions have intensified fears that the fragile 2018 power-sharing agreement—which ended a five-year civil war—could collapse.
Escalating Tensions and a UN Attack
Tensions soared last week when a United Nations helicopter attempting to evacuate soldiers from a conflict zone was attacked, resulting in the death of a UN crew member and a South Sudanese general. Despite President Salva Kiir’s reassurances that the country would not slide back into war, armed confrontations continue to escalate in the northeastern regions.
IGAD described the violence as part of a pattern of instability that is “pushing South Sudan ever closer to the brink of war.” The situation worsened on March 4, when 6,000 White Army combatants—a militia largely composed of armed youths from Vice President Riek Machar’s Nuer ethnic group—overran a military encampment in Nasir.
A Nation Caught Between Peace and Conflict
The White Army’s resurgence has reignited concerns that ethnic divisions could once again fuel large-scale violence. IGAD has urged all parties to de-escalate tensions, warning that the risk of “widespread hostilities looms large.”
Meanwhile, South Sudan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs downplayed concerns, stating on Wednesday that the country remains “calm and secure” and open to investors, visitors, and development partners. However, these reassurances come just days after the United States ordered all non-essential embassy staff to leave the country, citing “ongoing armed conflict.”
Uganda’s Military Deployment Sparks Confusion
Adding to the uncertainty, Uganda’s army chief announced a deployment of Ugandan special forces to South Sudan’s capital. However, South Sudan’s Information Minister Michael Makuei Lueth denied the presence of any Ugandan troops, insisting, “these forces are not there.”
What Lies Ahead?
With rising militia activity, foreign military involvement, and warnings from international organizations, South Sudan is now at a critical crossroads. IGAD’s message is clear: without immediate action, the country could plunge into another devastating war.
